Economic Outlook No 94 - November 2013 - OECD Annual Projections : Iceland Economic Outlook No 94

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Public Sector, Taxation and Market Regulation
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Social Protection and Well-being
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Transport
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Economic Outlook No 94 - November 2013 - OECD Annual Projections : Iceland Economic Outlook No 94 - Nov 2013

Country
Frequency		Annual
Time		2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015
Time
Variable
External sectors, trade and payments	Balance of income, value in USD, balance of payments basis	-1 063 887 014.888	-3 720 393 176.386	-2 383 482 398.318	-2 229 638 250.118	-2 024 264 137.258	-1 490 303 383.332	-903 474 377.885	-1 250 208 368.061	-1 250 208 368.061
	Current account balance, value in USD	-3 195 830 586.296	-4 405 329 096.176	-1 436 233 476.892	-1 036 626 738.525	-911 815 198.822	-748 097 587.919	-22 373 357.856	-37 094 054.470	50 934 846.239
	Current account balance, as a percentage of GDP	-15.737	-24.562	-11.687	-8.101	-6.528	-5.546	-0.141	-0.231	0.299
	Competitiveness indicator, relative consumer prices (CPI), overall weights	97.099	76.245	62.293	65.536	66.262	66.558	68.904	69.223	69.223
	Contribution to world trade volume, goods and services expressed in USD, 2005 prices	0.002	-0.004	0.001	0.001	0.001	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000
	Nominal effective exchange rate, chain-linked, overall weights	90.591	65.972	48.250	49.115	49.321	48.295	49.128	49.122	49.122
	Exchange rate, National currency per USD	64.075	87.999	123.665	122.242	116.058	125.118	122.255	119.980	119.980
	Net exports of goods and services, value, National Accounts basis, USD	-2 183 784 398.802	-754 007 728.387	1 042 981 773.719	1 271 210 144.121	1 175 578 810.272	834 184 617.366	980 349 615.339	1 315 320 139.115	1 409 595 990.519
	Imports of goods and services, volume, USD, 2005 prices	7 867 149 485.291	6 421 554 348.877	4 883 146 029.927	5 101 553 963.305	5 443 612 141.788	5 699 678 538.974	5 747 213 624.365	5 882 671 136.621	6 065 396 612.466
	Import penetration, goods and services	0.304	0.261	0.226	0.240	0.247	0.253	0.252	0.252	0.252
	Share of value imports of good and services in world imports, USD	0.055	0.043	0.035	0.032	0.033	0.033	0.034	0.033	0.033
	Net current international transfers, value, balance of payments basis, USD	-60 419 791.878	-39 338 324.135	-71 663 461.045	-70 439 072.563	-72 991 322.928	-81 069 664.856	-92 170 836.507	-102 205 825.524	-108 452 776.219
	Goods and services trade volume, USD, 2005 prices	6 841 288 509.844	6 322 666 421.888	5 772 278 990.014	5 899 342 904.713	6 196 225 070.304	6 457 910 594.134	6 524 352 064.778	6 704 183 513.503	6 915 624 434.027
	Competitiveness indicator, relative unit labour costs, overall economy	106.420	76.974	52.141	58.320	60.513	61.491	64.711	65.871	65.871
	Exports of goods and services, volume, USD, 2005 prices	5 815 427 534.397	6 223 778 494.899	6 661 411 950.102	6 697 131 846.122	6 948 837 998.820	7 216 142 649.294	7 301 490 505.191	7 525 695 890.385	7 765 852 255.588
	Export market for goods and services, volume, USD, 2005 prices	5 697 482 417.248	5 777 768 291.336	5 134 831 740.585	5 642 138 889.924	5 900 708 900.664	5 985 037 336.343	6 071 924 347.942	6 304 550 840.905	6 603 423 293.665
	Export performance for goods and services, volume	1.021	1.077	1.297	1.187	1.178	1.206	1.203	1.194	1.176
	Share of value exports of good and services in world exports expressed in USD	0.041	0.038	0.040	0.038	0.037	0.036	0.037	0.037	0.037
Government accounts	General government gross financial liabilities, as a percentage of GDP	53.267	102.194	119.766	125.091	132.338	129.557	129.520	126.817	124.867
	General government net financial liabilities, as a percentage of GDP	-1.045	26.025	39.848	48.169	53.580	55.755	55.719	53.016	51.065
	Net government interest payments, as a percentage of GDP	0.338	-0.006	3.440	3.435	3.653	4.410	4.686	4.118	3.911
	Government net lending, as a percentage of GDP	5.402	-13.522	-9.949	-10.065	-5.567	-3.844	-2.738	-1.285	-1.103
	Total disbursements, general government, as a percentage of GDP	42.268	57.671	50.959	51.557	47.388	47.431	47.199	44.993	43.856
	Total receipts general government, as a percentage of GDP	47.671	44.149	41.009	41.492	41.821	43.587	44.460	43.708	42.753
Expenditure and GDP	Government final consumption expenditure, volume	273 378 839 705.577	285 884 116 519.731	280 938 082 200.951	271 295 173 126.296	270 453 444 470.572	266 700 860 010.195	268 562 715 246.783	269 360 706 014.550	271 522 064 943.463
	Private final consumption expenditure, volume	667 665 825 446.520	615 464 736 536.120	523 224 121 300.090	523 686 236 090.660	537 299 863 556.900	549 967 238 234.890	558 595 666 657.210	570 855 242 658.163	584 535 462 479.462
	Gross domestic product, value, market prices	1 308 530 482 047.440	1 480 346 712 289.520	1 497 933 672 033.260	1 535 932 356 240.430	1 628 676 866 643.100	1 698 492 359 103.110	1 787 445 148 468.070	1 925 234 358 058.480	2 042 907 142 838.670
	Gross domestic product, volume, market prices	1 138 323 473 149.220	1 151 847 444 717.880	1 076 265 472 392.430	1 032 151 681 626.360	1 059 808 934 868.970	1 074 637 275 264.940	1 094 191 562 775.050	1 123 210 244 435.920	1 154 299 799 698.730
	Private non-residential gross fixed capital formation, volume	194 178 404 862.280	148 938 283 238.695	65 847 670 593.223	65 008 148 012.595	83 146 175 521.281	89 594 009 329.614	85 519 997 626.671	91 639 020 954.615	97 931 418 423.239
	Gross fixed capital formation, housing, volume	77 066 000 000.000	60 219 000 000.000	26 693 000 000.000	21 893 000 000.000	23 067 000 000.000	24 662 000 000.000	25 013 071 500.000	26 753 709 524.400	29 600 807 054.398
	Gross fixed capital formation, total, volume	316 740 995 474.669	252 111 494 063.623	122 520 781 222.234	110 968 263 460.264	126 877 602 001.597	133 256 629 731.505	129 986 212 897.059	137 985 945 117.594	147 809 799 952.615
	Total domestic expenditure, volume	1 260 419 000 000.000	1 151 414 000 000.000	916 308 999 999.999	892 206 000 000.000	928 562 000 000.000	943 882 999 999.999	961 742 675 877.780	986 067 165 235.827	1 012 538 749 986.280
Selected variables: ready-made growth rates	Government final consumption expenditure growth (volume)	4.085	4.574	-1.730	-3.432	-0.310	-1.388	0.698	0.297	0.802
	Headline inflation	5.052	12.655	12.035	5.396	3.997	5.186	3.959	3.810	3.123
	Private final consumption expenditure growth (volume)	5.703	-7.818	-14.987	0.088	2.600	2.358	1.569	2.195	2.396
	Total employment, growth	4.433	0.810	-6.054	-0.304	0.294	1.098	1.999	0.706	0.850
	Final domestic expenditure growth (volume)	0.051	-8.381	-20.925	-2.504	3.423	1.780	0.693	2.271	2.698
	GDP growth (volume)	5.985	1.188	-6.562	-4.099	2.680	1.399	1.820	2.652	2.768
	Gross fixed capital formation growth (volume)	-12.203	-20.405	-51.402	-9.429	14.337	5.028	-2.454	6.154	7.119
	Imports of goods and services growth (volume)	-1.516	-18.375	-23.957	4.473	6.705	4.704	0.834	2.357	3.106
	Core inflation	6.553	11.432	11.401	4.683	2.618	4.587	4.150	3.729	3.091
	Private final consumption expenditure, deflator, growth	4.576	14.068	13.728	3.409	4.112	5.570	3.392	3.886	3.262
	Gross domestic product, deflator, market prices, annualised rate	5.651	11.802	8.294	6.919	3.271	2.848	3.356	4.926	3.254
	Total domestic expenditure growth (volume)	-0.424	-8.648	-20.419	-2.630	4.075	1.650	1.892	2.529	2.685
	Goods and services trade growth, USD, 2005 prices, annualised rate	5.843	-7.581	-8.705	2.201	5.032	4.223	1.029	2.756	3.154
	Exports of goods and services growth (volume)	17.746	7.022	7.032	0.536	3.758	3.847	1.183	3.071	3.191
	Export performance for total goods and services growth	11.371	5.535	20.433	-8.503	-0.788	2.384	-0.265	-0.732	-1.479
Supply block	Output gap of the total economy	9.208	7.499	-0.914	-5.576	-3.638	-3.029	-2.053	-0.357	1.360
	Potential output of total economy, volume	1 042 341 324 623.230	1 071 494 595 187.670	1 086 193 241 237.670	1 093 101 726 890.990	1 099 819 888 506.450	1 108 203 347 113.360	1 117 121 027 998.210	1 127 232 374 946.880	1 138 817 346 878.240
	Productive capital stocks, volume	2 252 759 425 216.330	2 353 153 004 277.320	2 350 899 003 862.630	2 345 843 123 198.200	2 351 621 318 722.720	2 364 374 627 614.860	2 374 644 714 191.780	2 389 901 177 231.200	2 411 708 969 981.610
	NAIRU - Unemployment rate with non-accelerating inflation rate	3.710	4.026	4.360	4.665	4.915	5.011	5.040	5.023	4.974
	Cyclically adjusted government net lending, as a percentage of potential GDP	2.244	-17.526	-10.252	-7.947	-3.751	-2.484	-1.764	-0.941	-1.434
	Underlying government net lending, as a percentage of potential GDP	1.768	-3.898	-10.117	-4.674	-3.111	-2.170	-1.671	-1.197	-1.997
	Underlying government primary balance, as a percentage of potential GDP	2.138	-3.905	-6.708	-1.431	0.409	2.106	2.919	2.906	1.968
Prices and deflators	Consumer price index	1.121	1.263	1.415	1.491	1.550	1.631	1.695	1.760	1.815
	Private final consumption expenditure, deflator	1.126	1.284	1.460	1.510	1.572	1.660	1.716	1.783	1.841
	Gross domestic product, deflator, market prices	1.150	1.285	1.392	1.488	1.537	1.581	1.634	1.714	1.770
	Imports of goods and services, deflator, National Accounts basis	1.199	1.729	2.158	2.215	2.412	2.526	2.530	2.588	2.675
	Exports of goods and services, deflator, National Accounts basis	1.240	1.679	1.890	2.056	2.201	2.225	2.253	2.356	2.436
Labour markets	Total employment	175 469.647	176 891.745	166 182.462	165 677.400	166 163.673	167 988.107	171 345.876	172 556.116	174 022.951
	Labour force	179 513.714	182 583.689	179 318.571	179 537.009	178 452.226	178 571.560	181 178.096	181 368.373	182 500.515
	Labour productivity of the total economy	1.012	1.016	1.011	0.972	0.995	0.998	0.996	1.016	1.035
	Unit labour cost in total economy	1.229	1.273	1.230	1.352	1.431	1.524	1.599	1.654	1.690
	Unemployment, level	4 044.067	5 691.945	13 136.109	13 859.608	12 288.553	10 583.453	9 832.220	8 812.257	8 477.564
	Unemployment rate	2.253	3.117	7.326	7.720	6.886	5.927	5.427	4.859	4.645
	Compensation rate, total economy	5 239 900.126	5 385 622.019	5 144 981.863	5 489 164.196	5 933 426.189	6 330 246.915	6 692 570.540	7 047 887.781	7 340 767.563
Monetary data	Long-term interest rate on government bonds	9.420	11.068	8.256	6.086	5.978	6.194	5.729	6.390	6.690
Monetary data	Short-term interest rate	14.291	15.824	11.282	6.789	4.257	5.513	6.188	6.648	6.800

Data extracted on 23 Apr 2024 16:59 UTC (GMT) from OECD.Stat

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Economic Outlook No 94 - November 2013 - OECD Annual Projections : Iceland Economic Outlook No 94 - Nov 2013

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